Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 19, 2026 ยท 22:42This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 39.1%
Date predicted
March 20, 2026
Previous close
24420.80$
WAccuracy (10d)
57.8%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
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9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 43.2% | Correct |
| 2026-03-06 | SELL | BUY | 39.1% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | BUY | 53.8% | Correct |
| 2026-03-10 | BUY | SELL | 67.0% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-11 | SELL | SELL | 43.2% | Correct |
| 2026-03-12 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-03-13 | SELL | BUY | 39.1% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-16 | SELL | BUY | 43.2% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-17 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-03-18 | SELL | BUY | 39.1% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 57.8%
- Precision
- 38.2%
- Recall
- 15.0%
- F1
- 21.6%
- ROC AUC
- 0.354
- Brier
- 0.262
- ECE
- 0.251
- Prob. (today)
- 39.1%