Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 17, 2026 ยท 22:00This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 54.9%
Date predicted
February 18, 2026
Previous close
24696.50$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | SELL | 49.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | SELL | SELL | 49.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | BUY | 54.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 55.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 49.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 43.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 49.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | BUY | SELL | 54.9% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 59.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 25.2% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.4%
- Precision
- 90.7%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 95.1%
- ROC AUC
- 0.983
- Brier
- 0.220
- ECE
- 0.428
- Prob. (today)
- 54.9%