Model's Prediction
NDX (NASDAQ) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Apr 15, 2026 ยท 12:52This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 61.3%
Date predicted
April 15, 2026
Previous close
25842.00$
WAccuracy (10d)
91.0%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-31 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-04-01 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-04-02 | SELL | BUY | 33.7% | Incorrect |
| 2026-04-06 | SELL | BUY | 33.7% | Incorrect |
| 2026-04-07 | BUY | BUY | 68.1% | Correct |
| 2026-04-08 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-04-09 | BUY | BUY | 68.1% | Correct |
| 2026-04-10 | BUY | BUY | 68.1% | Correct |
| 2026-04-13 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 91.0%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 91.0%
- F1
- 95.3%
- ROC AUC
- 0.500
- Brier
- 0.160
- ECE
- 0.389
- Prob. (today)
- 61.3%