Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 23, 2026 ยท 22:33This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 39.1%
Date predicted
February 24, 2026
Previous close
24724.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
83.1%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 29.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 27.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-13 | SELL | BUY | 39.1% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 29.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 64.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | SELL | SELL | 29.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-19 | SELL | BUY | 39.1% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 47.2% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 83.1%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 47.4%
- F1
- 64.4%
- ROC AUC
- 0.828
- Brier
- 0.167
- ECE
- 0.312
- Prob. (today)
- 39.1%