Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 16, 2026 ยท 20:33This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 30.3%
Date predicted
February 17, 2026
Previous close
24661.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.9%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | BUY | 52.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 60.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | SELL | 49.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | SELL | 60.7% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.9%
- Precision
- 89.7%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 94.6%
- ROC AUC
- 0.958
- Brier
- 0.240
- ECE
- 0.451
- Prob. (today)
- 30.3%