Model's Prediction
NDX (NASDAQ) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Apr 20, 2026 ยท 21:19This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 39.4%
Date predicted
April 21, 2026
Previous close
26519.33$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.3%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | SELL | BUY | 28.4% | Incorrect |
| 2026-04-07 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-08 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-09 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-10 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-13 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-14 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-15 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-16 | BUY | BUY | 50.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-17 | SELL | SELL | 39.4% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.3%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 96.1%
- F1
- 98.0%
- ROC AUC
- 0.961
- Brier
- 0.249
- ECE
- 0.496
- Prob. (today)
- 39.4%