Model's Prediction
NDX (NASDAQ) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Apr 22, 2026 ยท 21:17This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 42.4%
Date predicted
April 23, 2026
Previous close
26937.27$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.2%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-09 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-10 | BUY | BUY | 63.3% | Correct |
| 2026-04-13 | BUY | BUY | 63.3% | Correct |
| 2026-04-14 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-15 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-16 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-17 | BUY | SELL | 58.8% | Incorrect |
| 2026-04-20 | SELL | SELL | 42.4% | Correct |
| 2026-04-21 | BUY | BUY | 58.8% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.2%
- Precision
- 96.0%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 98.0%
- ROC AUC
- 0.841
- Brier
- 0.167
- ECE
- 0.361
- Prob. (today)
- 42.4%