Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 15, 2026 ยท 13:58This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 54.2%
Date predicted
February 16, 2026
Previous close
24700.00$
WAccuracy (10d)
97.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | BUY | BUY | 61.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-02 | SELL | SELL | 35.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | SELL | 39.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | SELL | SELL | 39.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | BUY | 54.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 54.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 39.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 39.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 39.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | BUY | SELL | 54.2% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 97.4%
- Precision
- 93.0%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 96.4%
- ROC AUC
- 0.986
- Brier
- 0.168
- ECE
- 0.379
- Prob. (today)
- 54.2%