Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 16, 2026 ยท 21:06This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 49.8%
Date predicted
March 17, 2026
Previous close
24636.30$
WAccuracy (10d)
70.5%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
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5
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9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | SELL | SELL | 47.0% | Correct |
| 2026-03-03 | BUY | BUY | 55.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-04 | SELL | SELL | 49.8% | Correct |
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 47.0% | Correct |
| 2026-03-06 | SELL | BUY | 43.3% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | BUY | 55.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-10 | BUY | SELL | 64.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-11 | SELL | SELL | 47.0% | Correct |
| 2026-03-12 | SELL | SELL | 43.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-13 | SELL | BUY | 47.0% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 70.5%
- Precision
- 73.4%
- Recall
- 52.9%
- F1
- 61.5%
- ROC AUC
- 0.588
- Brier
- 0.247
- ECE
- 0.264
- Prob. (today)
- 49.8%