Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Jan 16, 2026 ยท 00:25This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 45.2%
Date predicted
January 16, 2026
Previous close
25552.50$
WAccuracy (15d)
74.3%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
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15 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 15 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | SELL | SELL | 0.0% | Correct |
| 2025-12-30 | SELL | SELL | 7.7% | Correct |
| 2025-12-31 | BUY | BUY | 62.1% | Correct |
| 2026-01-01 | SELL | SELL | 28.0% | Correct |
| 2026-01-02 | SELL | BUY | 45.2% | Incorrect |
| 2026-01-04 | BUY | BUY | 65.5% | Correct |
| 2026-01-05 | BUY | BUY | 65.5% | Correct |
| 2026-01-06 | SELL | BUY | 26.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-01-07 | SELL | SELL | 45.2% | Correct |
| 2026-01-08 | BUY | BUY | 65.5% | Correct |
| 2026-01-09 | SELL | SELL | 45.2% | Correct |
| 2026-01-11 | BUY | BUY | 69.4% | Correct |
| 2026-01-12 | BUY | SELL | 82.7% | Incorrect |
| 2026-01-13 | BUY | SELL | 65.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-01-14 | BUY | BUY | 65.5% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 74.3%
- Precision
- 70.7%
- Recall
- 85.4%
- F1
- 77.4%
- ROC AUC
- 0.722
- Brier
- 0.198
- ECE
- 0.143
- Prob. (today)
- 45.2%