Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 18, 2026 ยท 22:02This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 50.4%
Date predicted
February 19, 2026
Previous close
24862.80$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.3%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | SELL | SELL | 35.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | BUY | 50.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 50.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 35.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 39.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | BUY | SELL | 50.4% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 50.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 35.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 50.4% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.3%
- Precision
- 92.4%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 96.1%
- ROC AUC
- 0.966
- Brier
- 0.190
- ECE
- 0.394
- Prob. (today)
- 50.4%