Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 12, 2026 ยท 22:50This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 46.7%
Date predicted
February 13, 2026
Previous close
24744.00$
WAccuracy (10d)
85.5%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | SELL | SELL | 46.7% | Correct |
| 2026-01-30 | BUY | BUY | 59.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-02 | SELL | SELL | 34.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | SELL | 44.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | SELL | SELL | 44.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-05 | SELL | BUY | 46.7% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 56.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 34.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 34.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 38.1% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 85.5%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 54.6%
- F1
- 70.7%
- ROC AUC
- 0.966
- Brier
- 0.188
- ECE
- 0.274
- Prob. (today)
- 46.7%