Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 22, 2026 ยท 22:10This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 27.5%
Date predicted
February 23, 2026
Previous close
25013.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
95.0%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 56.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 19.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 59.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 19.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 56.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | BUY | SELL | 56.2% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 56.2% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 95.0%
- Precision
- 90.6%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 95.1%
- ROC AUC
- 0.956
- Brier
- 0.197
- ECE
- 0.378
- Prob. (today)
- 27.5%