Model's Prediction
NDX (NASDAQ) Daily Directional Forecast
Published May 16, 2026 ยท 15:12This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 60.3%
Date predicted
May 18, 2026
Previous close
29125.20$
WAccuracy (10d)
96.7%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | BUY | SELL | 71.0% | Incorrect |
| 2026-05-04 | BUY | BUY | 60.3% | Correct |
| 2026-05-05 | BUY | BUY | 90.8% | Correct |
| 2026-05-06 | SELL | SELL | 35.3% | Correct |
| 2026-05-07 | BUY | BUY | 60.3% | Correct |
| 2026-05-08 | BUY | BUY | 71.0% | Correct |
| 2026-05-11 | SELL | SELL | 47.7% | Correct |
| 2026-05-12 | BUY | BUY | 95.0% | Correct |
| 2026-05-13 | BUY | BUY | 87.9% | Correct |
| 2026-05-14 | SELL | SELL | 34.7% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 96.7%
- Precision
- 95.6%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 97.7%
- ROC AUC
- 0.946
- Brier
- 0.112
- ECE
- 0.271
- Prob. (today)
- 60.3%