Model's Prediction
NDX (NASDAQ) Daily Directional Forecast
Published May 5, 2026 ยท 06:56This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 44.6%
Date predicted
May 5, 2026
Previous close
27651.82$
WAccuracy (10d)
95.6%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | SELL | SELL | 44.6% | Correct |
| 2026-04-21 | BUY | BUY | 54.9% | Correct |
| 2026-04-22 | SELL | SELL | 43.4% | Correct |
| 2026-04-23 | BUY | BUY | 61.7% | Correct |
| 2026-04-24 | BUY | BUY | 51.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-27 | SELL | SELL | 43.4% | Correct |
| 2026-04-28 | BUY | BUY | 54.9% | Correct |
| 2026-04-29 | BUY | BUY | 51.8% | Correct |
| 2026-04-30 | BUY | BUY | 61.7% | Correct |
| 2026-05-01 | BUY | SELL | 61.7% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 95.6%
- Precision
- 94.3%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 97.1%
- ROC AUC
- 0.872
- Brier
- 0.194
- ECE
- 0.384
- Prob. (today)
- 44.6%