Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 20, 2026 ยท 22:54This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 58.3%
Date predicted
February 21, 2026
Previous close
25013.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
87.7%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 58.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 58.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 58.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | SELL | SELL | 29.7% | Correct |
| 2026-02-19 | SELL | BUY | 29.7% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 87.7%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 74.5%
- F1
- 85.4%
- ROC AUC
- 0.873
- Brier
- 0.169
- ECE
- 0.217
- Prob. (today)
- 58.3%