Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 19, 2026 ยท 22:01This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 48.0%
Date predicted
February 20, 2026
Previous close
24770.50$
WAccuracy (10d)
95.7%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | BUY | 55.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-06 | BUY | BUY | 60.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-09 | SELL | SELL | 48.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-10 | SELL | SELL | 48.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 48.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | BUY | SELL | 55.1% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 60.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 30.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 55.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | SELL | SELL | 48.0% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 95.7%
- Precision
- 92.7%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 96.2%
- ROC AUC
- 0.966
- Brier
- 0.204
- ECE
- 0.401
- Prob. (today)
- 48.0%