2026-09-11 15:18
mnclementoro
Pushing for higher levels.., might long soon
2026-09-11 15:26
mnclementoro
Long to 29540-29600
2026-09-11 15:28
mnclementoro
JPN to 65200
2026-09-12 08:19
domenchina
2026-09-12 08:19
domenchina
That's fucked
2026-09-12 08:19
Crossd
Yes 😬
2026-09-12 08:20
mnclementoro
Fucked both directions 😂
2026-09-12 08:20
mnclementoro
Let’s sell off next two weeks 🫣
2026-09-12 08:20
domenchina
Went long oil months ago, never seen such an obvious trade that just kept getting better
2026-09-12 08:21
Crossd
Really
2026-09-12 08:21
domenchina
I'm only up like 15% on it how
2026-09-12 08:21
Crossd
They are so delusional on oil
2026-09-12 08:21
domenchina
Let's hope for a mild winter ig
2026-09-12 08:21
Crossd
Even my IA was considering peace as the base case
2026-09-12 08:21
Crossd
I had to write in uppercase that escalation was the base case 😂
2026-09-12 08:22
Crossd
Yes Europe will be in trouble :/
2026-09-12 08:22
domenchina
Wanna know something interesting?
2026-09-12 08:22
Crossd
Always
2026-09-12 08:22
mnclementoro
Trump’s friend is building your LLM 😂
2026-09-12 08:23
domenchina
Solar already bailed us out energy wise this summer, and it's the reason why we aren't seeing a complete meltdown in ttf like in 2022
2026-09-12 08:23
Crossd
Oh
2026-09-12 08:23
domenchina
Almost half of the eu's energy mix now comes from renewables
2026-09-12 08:23
Crossd
Nice
2026-09-12 08:24
domenchina
Lots of problems with them, the sun doesn't always shine, and it's not windy all of the time, but while it is a lot less gas gets used
2026-09-12 08:24
domenchina
I'm literally studying energy engineering mind you
2026-09-12 08:24
Crossd
Yes quite useful for this time at least
2026-09-12 08:25
Crossd
Nice
2026-09-12 08:25
Crossd
I thought it was not enough
2026-09-12 08:25
Crossd
It’s great that it helped already
2026-09-12 08:28
mnclementoro
Energy sector is booming everywhere.. even in private equity advisory 😂
2026-09-13 09:22
mnclementoro
Almost all coins rising.. maybe final countdown? 😜
2026-09-13 09:30
mnclementoro
NDX down…
2026-09-13 09:30
mnclementoro
Glad I closed my longs on Friday evening.
2026-09-13 09:47
Crossd
Gosh
2026-09-13 09:47
Crossd
Yes because of IA slowdown
2026-09-13 09:47
Crossd
Clearly ahah
2026-09-13 09:48
mnclementoro
So AI is killing itself 😂
2026-09-13 11:07
mnclementoro
Selloff day or recovery at US open 😜
2026-09-13 14:19
mnclementoro
Etoro just ignored my set Sl.. why?
2026-09-13 14:54
Crossd
maybe a gap down ?
2026-09-13 14:54
Crossd
if not, that's terrible
2026-09-13 14:56
mnclementoro
Someone told me he read that it doesn’t trigger SL and TP over the weekends, just in normal (old) trading hours. It gets hit tonight - but only at whatever the price is at market open.
2026-09-13 14:57
mnclementoro
Greatest features only available on Etoro
2026-09-13 14:57
mnclementoro
I closed manually. Lost 50% of my gains
2026-09-13 15:19
Crossd
shit
2026-09-15 15:00
Crossd
Every day, stocks remain in the range while everything is going into chaos ><
2026-09-15 15:01
Crossd
It's so strange
2026-09-15 15:01
Crossd
They even price a rate hike for tomorrow
2026-09-15 15:01
Crossd
but market refuses to decline
2026-09-15 15:02
mnclementoro
Will happen, patience. Scalping in the meantime
2026-09-15 15:05
Crossd
it is taking sooooooo long
2026-09-15 15:05
Crossd
i've see stocks being resilient but this time is the most I've seen
2026-09-15 15:05
Crossd
while tariffs was a total collapse, here nothing happens
2026-09-15 19:45
mnclementoro
Crypto under pressure 😂
2026-09-16 07:59
mnclementoro
Was great Oil shirt. I am out
2026-09-16 15:43
mnclementoro
Things are moving as expected. Great day so far 😂
2026-09-16 19:08
mnclementoro
LONG — 28,940–28,970 while the put wall holds
Stop 28,858 · Targets 29,060 → 29,150
SHORT — only if 28,915 breaks and the retest from below fails
Stop 29,010 · Targets 28,780 → 28,600 → 28,475
Honest read: the long is the lower-conviction side tonight. The presser did damage, positive gamma is the only thing holding 28,925, and Friday's quad witching removes that pin. If it breaks, the air pocket to 28,475 is real.
2026-09-17 07:26
domenchina
A big part of why the markets are so resilient is new capital flowing in
2026-09-17 07:26
domenchina
And passive investing
2026-09-17 07:27
domenchina
Probably 10 people I know started investing in last 2 years, I know because they all asked me for advice
2026-09-17 07:27
domenchina
Another friend asked yesterday, newlywed
2026-09-17 07:27
domenchina
Kinda hard to explain to them the situation
2026-09-17 07:28
domenchina
"The fact you want to buy spx is a sign we're close to the top"😅
2026-09-17 07:57
mnclementoro
In the SHORT #2 zone — 29,230 is the top of it, 45 pts under the call wall, and essentially back at the pre-decision high (29,239). The overnight fully retraced the presser damage.
SHORT — 29,180–29,240 on rejection (needs a 5-min close back under 29,180, not just a touch)
Stop 29,300 · Targets 29,000 → 28,920
If it clears and holds 29,275 instead — no short. That's the reversal confirmed and the call wall flipping; the long is the retest, stop 29,200, targets 29,368 → 29,450.
2026-09-17 12:32
Ricci82
May he heard me…
2026-09-17 12:33
mnclementoro
After 14:45, the levels:
• Long — pullback to 29,350–29,370 that holds, stop 29,290, targets 29,450 → 29,500
• Short — only a rejection at 29,450–29,500, stop 29,560, targets 29,368 → 29,275
2026-09-17 15:07
Crossd
It looks like this right now, been struggling a lot with calendars issues and more
2026-09-17 15:07
Crossd
I am still not sure I will ever get results but at least I am trying 🙂
2026-09-18 07:55
mnclementoro
Short squeeze 😂
2026-09-18 07:57
Ricci82
Not the train to 35k?
2026-09-18 07:57
mnclementoro
I know you like lottery 😜
2026-09-18 07:57
Ricci82
I would like 40k
2026-09-18 08:00
mnclementoro
1. SHORT at 29,750 · stop 29,880 · target 29,500
Aug 28 high, the biggest resistance on the board, after a 700-pt squeeze. Risk 130 for 250 — best math today.
2. LONG at 29,610 · stop 29,480 · target 29,750
2026-09-18 09:22
Crossd
https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2100756854330782195?s=20
2026-09-18 16:28
mnclementoro
Adding more shorts… seems to be the path now
2026-09-18 17:30
mnclementoro
Crypto on fire..🔥
2026-09-18 17:30
mnclementoro
like last fomo day 🤣
2026-09-18 23:03
Crossd
lol
2026-09-18 23:04
Crossd
no reaction
2026-09-19 08:52
domenchina
Isn't he legally unable to impose tariffs?
2026-09-19 09:54
mnclementoro
He can for 180 days
2026-09-21 13:40
Ricci82
30k check
2026-09-21 13:41
mnclementoro
30400 is the new zaehp
2026-09-21 13:42
mnclementoro
LONG A — pullback: buy 29,750 · stop 29,590 · target 30,180
LONG B — breakout: buy 30,020 on a 15-min hold above 30,000 · stop 29,880 · target 30,402
2026-09-21 14:06
mnclementoro
Enjoying Florida
2026-09-21 14:18
Crossd
Enjoy!
2026-09-21 14:18
Crossd
I have no clue what is happening on Nasdaq
2026-09-21 14:18
Crossd
Better enjoy the weather than this madness x)
2026-09-21 14:18
mnclementoro
Could fall hard after this
2026-09-21 14:19
mnclementoro
Banking on the rally in the meantime 😜
2026-09-21 14:40
Ricci82
Hopefully, ive TP too early…
2026-09-21 19:29
mnclementoro
TL;DR
• What drove it: An AI/semiconductor melt-up (AMD's 10% price-hike/pricing-power story, Meta's new AI agent, an Intel packaging deal, SOX +3%+) layered on a morning oil-relief + Xi-summit-optimism gap — extended in the US session by the AI trade and a broad risk-on bid (Bitcoin short squeeze), NOT by rates. It happened against a hawkish Fed.
• The tape: NDX ~30,200–30,245 intraday, up ~2%, still ~1.7% below the June 3 record of 30,762.20 — no new NDX high. S&P +~1.4% (~3% below its Aug high), Dow +0.6%, VIX ~14.8, 10-yr 4.97%, WTI ~$97.5, Bitcoin +~5%.
• Durable or reversible: Structurally supported (AI capex, semis pricing power, positive dealer gamma now suppressing vol) but tactically extended into major resistance against a Fed that just hiked and is signaling more — the oil/summit catalysts are largely priced and geopolitically fragile.
2026-09-21 19:42
mnclementoro
NDX Week-Ahead & October Call: Grind Higher This Week, Elevated Pullback Risk Into Month-End/October
TL;DR
• This week (Sept 22–25): lean CONTINUATION / grind higher, ~55–60% probability, but it is a fragile, headline-driven "buy-the-rumor" push into Thursday's Xi–Trump summit with real sell-the-news risk Thu/Fri. Base case is a test of — and possibly a marginal new high above — the June 3 record of 30,762.20.
• Into month-end/October: the balance of evidence tilts toward a PULLBACK / higher-volatility correction (~55–60% probability of a 5%+ NDX drawdown at some point), NOT a "massive" sustained reversal/bear market (~20–25%). Quarter-end selling, maxed-out CTAs with asymmetric downside, rising yields as the market's #1 named tail risk, a hawkish Fed, and the midterm-year seasonal trough all cluster in the next 3–5 weeks.
• The single most important level: a daily close above 30,762.20 confirms continuation/melt-up; a daily close back below 29,752 (and decisively below 29,500) is the signal the reversal has started. Everything in between is noise.
2026-09-22 21:53
mnclementoro
We are living in a real matrix 😂
2026-09-22 21:54
Crossd
oh lol
2026-09-22 22:09
Ricci82
New ATH 🎉
2026-09-22 22:10
mnclementoro
Where? 😂